“It Will Get Worse”: When Government Admits the Pain—and Adds to It

“It Will Get Worse”: When Government Admits the Pain—and Adds to It

Thu, 03/19/2026 - 11:06
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By: Omar Silva I Editor/Publisher

National Perspective Belize I Digital 2026

www.nationalperspectivebz.com

Belize City: Thursday 19th March, 2026

Editorial —

There are moments in public life when a statement does more than inform.

It reveals.

The Prime Minister’s remarks to students at the University of Belize may have been intended as honesty. But in reality, they have exposed a deeper contradiction at the heart of Belize’s economic management.

“I’m sorry to give you the bad news… it’s going to get worse.”

That was the message.

Fuel prices will rise. The cost of living will increase. And Belizeans must brace themselves.

On the surface, the explanation is familiar: global forces, war in the Middle East, supply chains beyond our control. Belize imports everything, the Prime Minister said. The government cannot control those external pressures.

That part is true.

But it is not the whole truth.

Because while Belize cannot control global oil prices, it does control what happens after fuel lands on our shores.

And that is where the contradiction begins.

The Missing Half of the Story

The Prime Minister stated that the government has not raised taxes.

But Belizeans are not asking whether taxes were raised yesterday.

They are asking why fuel remains so heavily taxed today—at levels that take up to 45% of the pump price.

That is not a global issue.

That is a domestic decision.

And it is one that directly amplifies every external shock hitting the Belizean economy.

When global fuel prices rise, Belizeans feel it immediately.

But when global prices fall, the relief is often absorbed through taxation.

The result?

The pump becomes a one-way ratchet—quick to rise, slow to fall.

From Explanation to Responsibility

Leadership is not measured by the ability to explain hardship.

It is measured by the willingness to reduce it.

Telling Belizeans that things will get worse may be honest. But honesty alone does not ease the burden of a taxi driver trying to make a living, a vendor struggling to keep prices stable, or a family deciding whether to buy food or fuel.

And when government policy contributes to that burden, the conversation must shift from explanation to accountability.

Because this is no longer just about global oil prices.

It is about how Belize chooses to respond to them.

The Inflation Loop No One Is Talking About

Fuel does not operate in isolation.

It drives everything.

When fuel rises:

Transportation costs rise

Food prices rise

Business costs rise

Electricity costs creep upward

And when government taxes fuel heavily, it does not simply collect revenue.

It multiplies inflation across the entire economy.

This is the part that is too often left unsaid.

Belize is not just experiencing imported inflation.

It is compounding it domestically.

“We Have No Control” — Or Do We?

The Prime Minister told students:

“We have nothing to do with that.”

But Belizeans know that is only partially true.

Government may not control global oil prices.

But it does control:

The level of fuel taxation

The pricing structure at the pump

The extent of relief given to consumers

The broader energy and economic strategy

To say there is no control is to ignore the tools that are already in government’s hands.

The Real Issue: Policy vs. Reality

What Belizeans are experiencing today is not just a crisis of rising prices.

It is a crisis of policy alignment.

A government that acknowledges the pain but maintains a system that intensifies that pain.

A leadership message that says “brace yourself,” while the economic structure ensures that the blow lands harder than it should.

This is where frustration begins to turn into something deeper.

Not anger alone.

But distrust.

The Students Asked the Right Question

The students at UB did not ask about geopolitics.

They asked a simple, grounded question:

What is being done to improve the standard of living?

And the answer they received was, in essence:

Things will get worse.

Wages may rise slightly.

Government will try to help through social programs.

But the fundamental structure remains unchanged.

The Hard Truth Belize Must Face

You cannot meaningfully improve the standard of living while simultaneously increasing the cost of living through policy choices.

You cannot cushion inflation while taxing one of its primary drivers.

And you cannot ask citizens to endure hardship without examining whether that hardship is being unnecessarily amplified at home.

Final Reflection

There is nothing wrong with honesty from leadership.

But honesty without corrective action becomes resignation.

And resignation is not leadership.

If Belize is truly to confront rising costs, then the conversation must move beyond explaining global events and begin addressing domestic decisions.

Because Belizeans are not only paying for a war in the Middle East.

They are also paying for a system at home that is making that war more expensive than it has to be.

Signature Line

It is one thing to warn a nation that hardship is coming. It is another to maintain the policies that make that hardship worse.